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Category Archives: Technical Analysis

43 archived posts filed under Technical Analysis.

“The Federal Reserve will amplify record accommodation tomorrow by announcing $45 billion in monthly Treasury buying that will push its balance sheet almost to $4 trillion…“It’s going to be massive and open-ended in size.”” The headline was especially shocking: Fed Seen Pumping Up Assets to $4 Trillion in New Buying…

$4 Trillion, Massive and Open-Ended

Filed under China, Gold, Premium, Silver, Technical Analysis

Gifts, Graphs and Gold

Gifts for the Financially Inclined (I received the Zimbabwe bills two years ago.) Perhaps an Independent Stock Analysis membership would be a good self-gift. The Science Behind Gifting ( WSJ ). Lunch with Warren Buffet at the New Yorker…

Filed under Gold, Investing, Premium, Silver, Technical Analysis

Extensive Chart Festival

Charts to confirm and challenge the fundamental biases presented at Independent Stock Analysis : Stateside: House prices have gone positive year over year: Business Insider . Showtime for the Nasdaq: Kimble . Bank stocks: Kimble . Breadth…

Filed under Commodities, Premium, Technical Analysis

Precious Metal Complex

Seems the stars are aligned for gold and silver: New Cyclical Bull Underway in Gold Stocks at Daily Gold . The beginning of a gold rally begin at Frank Talk . Gold and silver off to the races? at Gold Money . Gold Stocks Get Healthy at…

Filed under Gold, Premium, Silver, Technical Analysis

Market Charts – a quick look

Double top possibility via Chartstore . “A market summary… In Pictures ” at See It Market . Jackson Hole May Disappoint Investors Primed for Stimulus at Bloomberg . “Oil down on rumer of SPR release. Remember IEA said last wk. that’s not…

Filed under Technical Analysis

Precious Positioning

Long-Term Technical Outlook for Gold & Silver at Daily Gold . Gold’s performance in stock bear markets: Zeal . China and India account for half of world wide gold demand: Frank Holmes . So could “ China’s problems be gold’s problems” at…

Filed under China, Gold, Precious Metals, Silver, Technical Analysis

Giddy on Coal

This weekend everyone was excited over the coal stocks. The charts finally turned and started to improve: ACI , CLD and a chart-fest at FINVIZ . Got Coal? When “Less Bad” Starts To Work at Upsidetrader garnered a lot of attention. I was…

Filed under Coal, Commodities, Energy, Natural Gas, Technical Analysis

Saturday Gold Bugs

One hundred twenty pages of gold fundamentals and charts: Erste Research . It’ll all be papered over, including Japan’s problems: Sober Look . The government debt maturity outlook has deteriorated significantly over the last two years…

Filed under Gold, Precious Metals, Silver, Technical Analysis

“The number one reason people get out of the game is because they have suffered a portfolio loss that exceeds what they can live with. The number 2 reason people get out of the game is because they can’t stand the volatility (ups and downs) and uncertainty during a crisis.” See It Market

Waiting for Coal

Filed under China, Coal, Natural Gas, Technical Analysis

Shale Underestimated

Despite yesterday’s EIA oil report showing an increase in inventory, the price reversed higher. Bloomberg New oil sands development requires a very high oil price: Financial Post . “A new study says North Dakota’s oil production could jump…

Filed under Bakken, Eagle Ford, Natural Gas, Oil, Technical Analysis

Macro Peek

“The number of Chinese online was already huge, and it’s soared over the past year by more than 50 million thanks to an upsurge in mobile Internet access.” CNET “…800 million to 1 billion new consumers around the world will enter the…

Filed under China, Commodities, Fed, Macro, materials, Technical Analysis

“The U.S. economy is downshifting, even as the housing sector is finally showing signs of life.” WSJ Optimism from the Economist . Housing supply is tight with with inventory is down 24.4% year over year ( Calculated Risk ). More color: Marketwatch .

Home CRB Bull Market

Filed under China, Commodities, Macro, materials, Technical Analysis

Precious Metal Gold Bugs

Note this chart of credit adjusted gold from Real Return Investing at Ritholtz . This piece might be the most worthwhile read of the week. UBS warns of possible hyperinflation: Zero Hedge “On Thursday, gold futures recorded a negative…

Filed under Gold, Precious Metals, Silver, Technical Analysis

Oil & Gas

Crude Trades Near Seven-Week High on Iran Tensions, Stimulus Speculation at Bloomberg . Fragile, but Comfortable, Oil Market Expected at Oil Price . Chinese crude imports at nine-month low at CGES . What happens to price if and when…

Filed under Bakken, Energy, Investing, Natural Gas, Oil, Technical Analysis

Oil Trades near One-Week High on Bets China Will Boost Economy at Bloomberg . U.S., Canada to drive 2013 non-OPEC oil supply gains at Fuel Fix . But this is getting carried away: “the US should collaborate with Canada and Mexico to not only fulfill domestic needs but make North America the world’s…

Filed under Energy, Natural Gas, Oil, Technical Analysis

Growing Oil

QE3 sounds unlikely at this month’s Fed meeting: WSJ It’ll be papered over alert: The Social Security Trust Fund projects average yields for their Treasury’s of 4%, while rolling them over at a bit over 1%. Bruce Krasting Devaluing the Pound Isn’t a Solution, It’s Default yet they’ll do so anyway…

Filed under Gold, Precious Metals, Technical Analysis

Saturday Goldbugs

More Gas than Oil

Oil Rebounds in New York on Global Stimulus Speculation , Iran at Bloomberg . The especially weak ISM manufacturing data yesterday was bullish, in a perverse way, because of a pavlovian market participant response to central bank easiness…

Filed under Commodities, Energy, Macro, Natural Gas, Oil, Technical Analysis

Energy Eleven

Hello Brent contango at FT Alphaville . “…the U.S. will drastically reduce its reliance on important oil, in particular from the Middle East…China’s story is precisely the opposite.” WSJ Details on yesterday’s petroleum inventories: Hard…

Filed under Energy, Natural Gas, Oil, Technical Analysis

Oil and a lot of Gas

We arrive at our desks to weak prices, even with Almost 23% Of Gulf Of Mexico’s Oil-And-Gas Output Cut By Storm : IB Times . Natty will remain depressed withdrawal season begins next fall, while oil needs help from the a ‘Saudi Arabia…

Filed under Energy, Investing, Natural Gas, Oil, Technical Analysis

Commodity Complex and Big Picture

I would like to point out the left side of this chart represents multi-generational lows in real terms: Commodity Prices vs Long Term Average from Bespoke . Impact of Commodity Prices on the Consumer : Bespoke . I am not in the Club of…

Filed under Commodities, Technical Analysis

Goldbug Central

Gold Stock Valuations at Zeal . Note the deflationary period in Weimar marks relating to gold: Casey Research . About this gold consolidation since last August: Kimble Charting Solutions . A forty year silver chart with its recent…

Filed under Gold, Housing, Macro, Precious Metals, Technical Analysis

Oil, coal and solar in China at Bloomberg . Oil demand in India: Reuters . North American spot crude oil benchmarks likely diverging due to bottlenecks from the EIA . “Vast fortunes await those willing to quickly claim Canada’s still-unknown troves of tight oil reserves, though it may cost them a…

Filed under Eagle Ford, Energy, Income, Natural Gas, Oil, Technical Analysis

Oil & Gas Dozen

Precious Fix

Ridiculousness continues: Multi-trillion plan to save the eurozone being prepared at The Telegraph . State pensions will be papered over imo: Financial Sense . Fleckenstein – Fed Takes Half Step, Will Be Forced to Act Again at King World…

Filed under Company Specific, Gold, Precious Metals, Royalty, Technical Analysis

Oil Extends Decline as Inventories Reach Most Since 1990 at Bloomberg . Left unmentioned was gasoline and distillate inventories in the lower limit of the average range… E&Y Study: O&G Companies Focus on Drillbit Growth in 2011 from Rigzone . From ND governor urges speedy, safe pipeline building…

Filed under Bakken, Energy, Natural Gas, Oil, Technical Analysis

Energy!

About yesterday’s mess in the patch: Barrons . UBS went the other way, with less analysis: Reuters . “Valero could stop importing light, sweet crude to its Gulf Coast refineries as soon as 2013 and fully rely on U.S. production,” Fuel Fix . Rail shipments of oil up 36% this year: Globe and Mail…

Filed under Bakken, Eagle Ford, Energy, Natural Gas, Oil, Technical Analysis

How Real Is Shale?

Oil Trades Near Eight-Month Low Before OPEC Meeting from Bloomberg Oil production change by country in 2011. Economist A summery of the IEA’s latest Oil Market Report: IEA EIA Lowers Oil Price Estimate, Posts Gulf Hurricane Shut-in Estimates at Rig Zone . It’s still too early to say if this is a…

Filed under China, Macro, Natural Gas, Oil, Technical Analysis

Energy Dozen

Easy Easing?

Endless QE? $6 trillion and counting Reuters Easing Seems Likely, But of What Form? Financial Sense One British central banker say bond buying should be expanded: Bank of England should buy company loans at Reuters . Re-reading Bernanke’s…

Filed under Gold, Macro, Precious Metals, Technical Analysis

Energy Bonanza

Expect the Bakken boys to report stellar Q2 numbers: “April…was the largest year-over-year increase in the state’s history at 73.5%…) via Mark Perry . Also, The Bakken Buck Starts Here – Bakken Crude Pricing – Part II at RBN Energy . Lower…

Filed under Bakken, Coal, Energy, Investing, Macro, Natural Gas, Oil, Technical Analysis

Oil and Gas

OPEC maintained quotas yesterday. “The U.S. shale boom is starting to sap demand from their most important customer. OPEC members are also consuming more of their own product, leaving less to export…The euro zone accounts for a mere 12 per…

Filed under Energy, Natural Gas, Oil, Technical Analysis

Goldbug Saturday Morning Coffee

All roads in Europe lead to gold: Chris Martenson . Bernanke and the data disappointed the goldbugs at Global Macro Monitor , but Gold reversed higher on Friday at Daily Gold . Have Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks Bottomed? Minyanville…

Filed under Gold, Macro, Precious Metals, Technical Analysis

Goldbugs!

Gigantic pennant: JSmineset . An inverse head and shoulders breakout from Porter Stansberry . Official breakout via Jeff Clark . European weakness ( Sober Look ) will begat money printing. Easing options from Zerohedge . But will policy…

Filed under Macro, Precious Metals, Technical Analysis

“Presently, the gold stocks put in a great weekly reversal, at the 50% retracement after declining in nine of the past 11 weeks.” Nice piece by Jordan Roy-Byrne at Minyanville .

Goldbug Bottom Calling

Filed under Precious Metals, Technical Analysis

Tech and TA

The world sure is advancing technologically at a robust rate. “Smart Phones and Tablets Might Be Spreading Faster Than Any Technologies in Human History” Mark J Perry Smart and hard working kids who made their own money funding the same…

Filed under Macro, Smorgasbord, Technical Analysis

Goldbugs!

The mainstream media and blogosphere occasionally seem to begin to understand gold. Ed Yardeni at Business Insider : “More broadly, gold is a hedge against reckless fiscal and monetary policies.” Then he continues: “The dramatic…

Filed under Company Specific, Precious Metals, Technical Analysis

Smorgasbord

Marathon Oil adds to their Eagle Ford assets with an acquisition of 17,000 net acres in the liquids-rich core of the Eagle Ford shale play for $767 million. My math makes it $44,118 an acre, which would need to be adjusted for production…

Filed under China, Eagle Ford, Energy, Oil, Technical Analysis

Goldbugs!

A bottom for gold stocks? The group is down another 5% since this Humble Student of the Markets post. Jeff Saut on the great monetary symbolism and meaning in the yellow brick road. Following that nice read is his market commentary…

Filed under Company Specific, Precious Metals, Technical Analysis

So yesterday stock market indices were hit in the 1.25-2.25% range. Mid-day the gold stocks were up smartly, and had they kept more of their gains that would have been a nice tell. More and more gold traders have thrown in the towel ( Mark Hulbert ). As a reminder, the fundamental bull case is…

Filed under Precious Metals, Technical Analysis

Goldbugs!

Natural gas crushes coal: “In 1985, coal accounted for 57 percent of all power generated in the United States. Last year, it was 42 percent. The U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates it will fall to 40 percent this year. Prices for Appalachian coal are down 24 percent over the past 12…

Filed under Bakken, Energy, Precious Metals, Smorgasbord, Technical Analysis

NG, Coal, Oil, PM’s

Oil Heavy Chartfest

Sector trading ranges: Bespoke Oil inventories, which excludes products. This weeks total inventories being dead flat is missed in this chart. Bespoke Spare capacity trumps inventories: Pragmatic Capitalism Energy and Materials to…

Filed under Technical Analysis