One natural gas tea leaf, from Investor Village:
Nat Gas Production Data – Production Rolling OverCHK has an interesting chart in their investor presentation that shows the nat gas production from the 20 highest rate producers based on their Q2 earnings report. These top 20 produces almost 50% of all US production.
As of Q2 their production is up 5.1% Y/Y.
However looking at Q2 vs Q1, their production growth is 0.0%, that is flat.
It is also interesting that their nat gas directed rig count is down 50% from 1/01/10 to Q2 2012
Coal Plants’ Victory Over EPA Is Muted by Low Gas Prices at Bloomberg. Big Rivers scales back pollution-control spending after court ruling at Platts. DOE study paints favorable picture of US gas in power plants also by Platts.
“U.S. year-to-date coal production totaled 642.1 mmst, 5.4 percent lower than the comparable year-to-date coal production in 2011” EIA
In Australia a big coal deal won’t be happening: Whitehaven Says Tinkler Won’t Proceed With $5.5 Billion Bid at Bloomberg. Expansions are in doubt as Yancoal reviews Australian expansions at Mining Weekly.
Peabody would be the go to coal name had they not bought Macarthur Coal last year. Now has Peabody has half their operations in Australia just as Marius Koppers says “Australia’s carbon and mining taxes have helped to render the nation’s coal industry unworthy of further investment at this time.” Sydney Morning Herald. Plus Peabody borrowed $3.1 billion to fund the deal. Uugh!
I’m thinking my favorate play is going to be Cloud Peak Energy. I wrote about it at SA. I don’t own it yet and do not plan on purchasing shares in the near future. But CLD tops my radar screen.