Economic Strength

The secular precious metal bull market is over.  Fundamentally inverse are two shocking and positive headlines I did not expect to see in 2013:

  • The Return of State Surpluses Could Point to More Growth to Come (Daniel Gross)
  • Fannie Mae reports record profit in 2012 (Calculated Risk

Reasons Why Stock Market Bull Run Has Farther To Go (IBD) vs. Growls Keep Coming From the Bear’s Den (WSJ).

Manufacturing index points to 2-3% GDP growth (Scott Grannis) vs. Complete confusion over the trajectory of the US manufacturing sector (Sober Look).

“The past relationship between the PMI™ and the overall economy indicates that the average PMI™ for January through March (52.9 percent) corresponds to a 3.3 percent increase in real gross domestic product (GDP) on an annualized basis.”  ISM

You decide:  European industry flocks to U.S. to take advantage of cheaper gas (Washington Post) vs. Rumors of a Cheap-Energy Jobs Boom Remain Just That (NY Times).

Reconcile these:

  • “First the supply of natural gas into the US market looks likely to continue flat or increase slightly during 2013 with new production, processing and transportation infrastructure coming online…The implication for the summer of 2013 is that gas prices will have to fall again to keep the storage surplus in check.” (RBN Energy).
  • “Natural gas output dropped notably in January.”  HAI

One thought on “Economic Strength

  1. The PMs markets do indeed look very weak, especially Au…

    The inability of the EuroLand crisis to drive up prices must be weighing heavily on investors…Au could fall to the 140 to 145 levels and Ag to 22 to 24 dollar level…

    I believe that both metals will have their first negative calendar year, since 2001,,,A stronger dollar, which is in the offering, will also bring pressure to bear as well…

    IMHO, there is only three or four years left to stem the tide of the coming financial crisis…The election of 2016 and CommieCare will be key to avert a national crisis…Everyone, except a few Americans are a sleep at the switch…

    May God have mercy on us..!

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